Federal Election Post-Mortem: Why Pierre Poilievre Missed His Trump Moment. And What Will Happen To Canada Now.

Analyzing the stark contrast between U.S. and Canadian opposition actions and the lessons for future federal elections, if ... such elections ever happen again.

Preface:

Things are moving so quickly in post-election Canada that I can barely keep up with updating this article, which I started writing three weeks ago to analyze the Conservative loss and its implications for our country. Since then, so much has happened: the recount in Quebec’s Terrebonne riding, where a “magical” 74-vote discovery handed the Liberals a critical seat; reports suggesting Elections Canada may have mishandled ZIP codes on return postage, causing ballots sent by mail to go missing; Alberta’s minister openly discussing possible steps toward greater autonomy—or even exiting federalism under certain conditions; and the recent meeting between Mark Carney and Donald Trump. The pace of these developments is relentless.

Rather than keep re-editing this article endlessly, I’ve decided to share it with you now. My goal is to provide a key message of hope and constructive action, regardless of which government currently holds power. Because now, Canada has a valuable ally to the south in the person of Donald Trump!

Enjoy the article—and please share your thoughts in the comments below.

Disclaimer:
This article's opinions are that of the author, not of any institution.

---

So, why did the Conservatives lose, and will it lead to the collapse of Canada as we know it?

That’s the question I’ve been asked by many of my readers. Here’s my take on it

Reasons discussed elsewhere

Reason #1.
Many believe the Conservatives lost because of Trump. From the outset, this election felt more like a referendum on Trump than a Canadian contest. His meeting with Carney last week—and the rapid follow-up with an “earth-shattering announcement with Canada” (see video below)—only reinforced this perception. It appears clear that Trump preferred dealing with a professional banker like Carney, someone who understands how money and power work, rather than with a political novice trained to give polished speeches in a soft voice, like Pierre Poilievre.

Reason #2.
Many others argue that the Conservatives lost due to interference tactics by Liberal supporters. This may also be true, as I detailed in my recent Election Interference Analysis article. There, I examined how riding boundary changes and a record number of candidates—many of them “dummy” runners aiming to protest first-past-the-post voting—flooded Pierre Poilievre’s ballot. This disturbing technique of ballot flooding with dummy candidates is now poised to escalate in Poilievre’s upcoming Alberta by-election, with even more placeholders expected—an intentional effort to confuse voters, dilute support, and undermine the integrity of the electoral process.

Reason #3.
Adding to these concerns are the latest vote recounts in Térrebonne—in Quebec, which “magically” found 74 ballots—just enough to give the Liberals a one-vote lead over the PQ candidate, securing the riding and moving closer to a desired majority. This suspiciously convenient outcome is described in video below.

Incidentally, my wife worked for Elections Canada during the 2015 federal election, when I remember helping her carry heavy boxes of ballots home to deliver them to another office the next day. Back then, I was surprised there was no special security—no digital seals, no wax seals (сургучная печать)—like we use in courier services or freight companies. Of course, at the time, it never crossed my mind that someone might tamper with something as sacred as election ballots. Today, I’m no longer so sure.

Reason #4.
Still others point to Liberal-funded campaign surges, such as the $8 billion in targeted funding announced in key Calgary ridings just days before the writ was dropped—an issue I explored in last week’s article. This was no doubt a contributing factor too.

With Mark Carney at the helm, Canada embarks on a new chapter—marked by sharp critiques of Trudeau and a mix of Liberal and Conservative ideas?

Reason #5.
The latest twist in Elections Canada’s handling of the vote—a suspicious “error” with the return address ZIP code—has added yet another layer to what feels like a political thriller. At least one voter’s mail-in ballot was returned to sender due to this wrong ZIP code. That voter happened to be from the exact riding where a recount gave the Liberals a one-vote win over the PQ. This person had voted PQ. The incident (detailed in the video below) raises serious questions about whether this was an isolated mistake—or a deliberate tactic.

The brazenness of this maneuver—the sheer insolence—is striking. It deserves its own Substack feature. This episode echoes the kind of blatant manipulation we saw from PHAC, when they included COVID deaths from before vaccines were available in post-vaccine mortality stats to falsely inflate vaccine efficacy. That deceptive sleight of hand justified sweeping mandates that stripped millions of Canadians of their constitutional and inalienable rights to bodily autonomy, travel, and security.

Reason #6.
Finally, many also agree that all mainstream media—most of which is funded by Liberal and globalist sources—has been used as a direct weapon against the Conservatives, especially in the absence of strong alternative media in Canada (unlike in the U.S.). The same applies to most professional unions, which directly benefit from government-funded public sector salaries. Some of these unions openly violated their non-partisan mandates by actively campaigning to turn votes away from the Conservatives.

Reason #7 and the Main Overarching Reason

Nevertheless, even though all of the above reasons clearly played a role, it is evident to me—and to many other concerned Canadians (including Ted Kuntz, National Citizens Inquiry Chair, who commented on an earlier version of this article)—that these factors were not decisive. By comparing the Canadian election to the U.S. election last fall, it becomes obvious: yes, these tactics likely handed the Liberals a few extra seats. But in essence, we’ve already learned from the previous Liberal-NDP coalition that it barely matters whether the Liberals get a majority right away from vote counting, or fall short by one seat (if the disputed vote in Térrebonne goes to Liberal), or by two votes (if it goes to PQ), or even by five votes. They can always “secure” the needed support through deals with small parties (like the NDP) to push through their agenda.

So, we need to look deeper into the real reason why Canada did not experience the same historic, overwhelming government turnover as the United States did. And the reason is very clear.

It is crystal clear that while all of the above-mentioned factors contributed, the primary reason for the Conservatives’ loss was Pierre Poilievre’s deliberate avoidance of issues that challenge the globalist agenda—specifically, the unchecked influence of the WEF, the WHO, and their disastrous recommendations on lockdowns, masks, and unnecessary vaccinations, especially for children. These policies inflicted needless suffering on millions, stripping Canadians of fundamental human rights.

Poilievre never addressed the legal actions against these pandemic measures. He ignored the scientific fraud, constitutional violations, and government overreach that devastated so many Canadians. He remained silent on the influence of Big Pharma, the WHO, and the impending WHO pandemic treaty, which, if adopted, would severely undermine Canadian sovereignty and civil liberties.

In stark contrast, Donald Trump saw a tremendous surge in support after openly aligning with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Jay Bhattacharya—key voices fighting against government overreach in the U.S. Poilievre never allied himself with any comparable Canadian figures leading the same fight here. He ignored voices like Brian Peckford (former Premier of Newfoundland and the last living signatory of the Charter of Rights, who led a landmark legal challenge suspending federal travel mandates) and Dr. Bernard Massie (retired NRC director and NCI commissioner who exposed political interference in science). Poilievre never appeared with them, never acknowledged their efforts.

This silence alienated millions of Canadians. And that, more than anything, is why what could have been a “Trump moment” for the Canadian Conservatives turned into a missed opportunity.

Below, I contemplate a scenario that would have resulted in an overwhelming win for Poilievre—had he teamed up with prominent fighters for truth and opponents of foreign globalist agendas and government overreach, just as Trump did by aligning with Robert Kennedy. And if you’ve never heard of Dr. Bernard Massie, the National Citizens Inquiry (NCI), or Brian Peckford and his historic speeches at the Freedom Convoy in January 2022, the Appendix provides a recap for those who forgot—or never knew.

“Trump’s alliance with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.—a fierce critic of censorship, mandates, and corporate influence—brought millions of Americans to his side, leading to one of the most decisive victories in modern U.S. political history.”

“Pierre Poilievre standing with Brian Peckford—the last living Charter signatory who led the legal fight against vaccine mandates. This image is AI-generated, as such a meeting never took place. Had it happened, Canada would have a different government today—just as the U.S. does now.”

“Pierre Poilievre with Dr. Bernard Massie—former NRC director and National Citizens Inquiry commissioner who exposed the politicization of science during the pandemic. This meeting never happened. Had it occurred, it would have signaled real change in how a political party respects scientific integrity and the foundational rights of Canadians—and changed the course of history in Canada.”

What could have happened…

It was a stunning contrast. In the United States, Donald Trump swept back into power, overturning the Biden administration and immediately beginning to dismantle many of its key programs and resolutions. Central to his success was a deliberate embrace of activists and critics—people like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Jay Bhattacharya—who had been vocal opponents of the NIH, FDA, and the sweeping mandates that many Americans viewed as government overreach. Trump showcased these figures as part of his campaign and governance plan, signaling to millions of frustrated citizens that their voices were finally being heard.

In Canada, however, Pierre Poilievre took a very different approach. Despite widespread dissatisfaction with the Liberal government, its mandates, and programs such as MAiD expansion, censorship bills, and the promotion of controversial vaccine mandates, Poilievre chose to distance himself from these hot-button issues. He rarely, if ever, mentioned the trauma endured by millions of Canadians—whether job losses, health harms, or freedom restrictions—and avoided aligning himself with activists who had fought tirelessly to expose the harm and fraud associated with these policies.

This silence proved costly. Many Canadians who had suffered under the mandates felt abandoned. As one popular song (the link to which I will provide) describes it, they saw the Conservatives and Liberals as "two heads of the same snake." Disillusioned, they turned instead to smaller parties like the People’s Party of Canada, the United Party, and others—parties that at least acknowledged their struggles and offered a clear alternative. The result? Rather than achieving an overwhelming majority like Trump did, Poilievre's party barely held on, coming dangerously close to losing their grip on Parliament altogether.

This miscalculation cannot be overstated. By refusing to confront the issues that mattered most to millions, Poilievre alienated a massive base of potential supporters who had been desperate for change.

If he hopes to turn things around before the next election—which, I believe, may come much sooner than four years—Poilievre must realize that his current strategy is a dead end. He must bring in figures like the National Citizens Inquiry commissioners, natural health activists, and outspoken critics of programs like MAiD. Canadians need to see him standing alongside these people, not just in words but in pictures and at rallies. His campaign should unapologetically address the censorship, fraud, geoengineering concerns, and the very real suffering caused by mandates.

A campaign built around a slogan like “Make Canada Healthy Again” (or “Restore the Public Trust” could galvanize the same grassroots energy that propelled Trump’s return. Canadians are watching what’s happening south of the border, and they are hungry for leadership that will fight for their health, freedoms, and dignity—leadership that doesn’t bow to industry pressures or silence dissent for political expedience.

Until Poilievre does this, I have no confidence that he can win a decisive election. And if anyone reading this has the means to get this message to him, please do. Until real change is on the horizon, I will pause my supportive posts and shift my focus to promoting the inconvenient truths that are being courageously brought to light in other countries—truths that our mainstream Canadian media continue to suppress because they are just too inconvenient.

---

Addendum A: Images Every Canadians Would Have Loved To See

The images with Pierre Poilievre in this article are generated using artificial intelligence (The two above and the one below).

The first image depicts Pierre Poilievre alongside Brian Peckford, the former Premier of Newfoundland and Labrador and the last surviving signatory of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms. Over the past five years, Peckford has been a leading figure in the legal battle against the unconstitutional vaccine mandates imposed by the Liberal government. All Canadians owe him deep gratitude for his dedication to protecting civil liberties. His legal challenge was pivotal in pressuring the government to suspend the federal travel vaccine mandate, which occurred on June 20, 2022 (please confirm this exact date). This suspension rendered the court case moot, as the mandate was no longer in effect. Nevertheless, the significance of his legal action cannot be overstated—it restored the right to travel for millions of Canadians, including federal employees who were barred from working during the mandate period. In stark contrast, the Biden administration in the United States kept similar mandates in place until May 2023.

For context and further reading:

• Federal vaccine mandate suspension announcement: https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/federal-travel-vaccine-mandate-suspended-1.6492299

• Brian Peckford’s legal challenge: https://peckford42.wordpress.com/

The second image portrays Pierre Poilievre with Dr. Bernard Massie, the former Director of the Human Health Therapeutics Research Centre at the National Research Council of Canada. Since retiring, Massie has devoted the last four years to fighting injustices, trauma, and fraud stemming from the political mandates and agendas of the Liberal government. He served as a commissioner for the National Citizens Inquiry, contributing critical insights and testimonies that exposed deep flaws in Canada’s pandemic response. His sobering and eye-opening presentation at the final NCI commissioners’ report can be viewed at the following link: [Insert your link here].

It is important to emphasize that these images are fictional; such meetings between Pierre Poilievre and these prominent figures never actually took place. In fact, the Conservative Party leader has notably avoided engaging with individuals and communities that actively opposed the previous Liberal regime’s mandates and policies. Had he done so, there is little doubt that it could have significantly bolstered his credibility and electoral support.

References:

• National Citizens Inquiry: https://nationalcitizensinquiry.ca/

• Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s advocacy: https://childrenshealthdefense.org/

• Jay Bhattacharya’s COVID policy analysis: https://profiles.stanford.edu/jay-bhattacharya

• MAiD program overview: https://www.canada.ca/en/health-canada/services/medical-assistance-dying.html

• People’s Party of Canada platform: https://www.peoplespartyofcanada.ca/

---

Appendix B: Public Servant Rights During Elections — Response to a Complainant

For those who don’t follow my other Substack (dg4vp), below is my response—written as an open letter —to someone who complained to my employer over posts that I wrote during the election on LinkedIn.

If you use LinkedIn, please support my articles there by liking and reposting them. We cannot allow Liberal partisans to dominate the narrative and dictate their interests in LinkedIn unchallenged.

My LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dmitry-gorodnichy

An Open Letter to the Informant: Why I Write, and Why I’ll Keep Writing

---

Appendix C: For those who don’t never heard about Bernand Massie or Brian Peckford or National Citizens Inquiry and Legal Fights Against The Mandates.